TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Two NHL teams face off in a high-scoring matchup where bettors predict whether the combined goals will exceed various thresholds. The game's outcome hinges on offensive performance and defensive lapses, with each goal contributing to the final tally.
Markets resolve to Yes if San Jose and Anaheim collectively score more than the specified threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 8.5) goals in their Sep 20, 2026 game. Goals from regulation, overtime, and shootouts (counted as one) are included. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in fair price resolution for all markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes that sportsbooks may overlook. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the event’s potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the San Jose vs Anaheim game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment. Essentially, the price indicates how much it costs to take a position on a specific goal total.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the San Jose vs Anaheim game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by recognized sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total goals scored in the game. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on publicly available information and established standards for sports event outcomes. The final score will be the determining factor for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the San Jose or Anaheim teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s pace or scoring opportunities, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and move the market.