TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,422
Markets across
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 7:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between San Jose State and USC. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the San Jose St. vs USC college football game originally scheduled for August 29, 2026. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted. If neither team scores a touchdown, the "No team scores a TD" market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate sharp handicappers and public action, prediction market odds emerge from decentralized buying and selling of contracts. The resulting probability often aligns closely with betting splits but can diverge due to different participant dynamics and liquidity conditions. Traders may react faster to new information, causing shifts not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. For example, injury news or weather updates could move this market more sharply on Kalshi than in conventional sports betting markets.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to cross the goal line for a touchdown determines the result, and the market settles based on official game records and widely accepted sports news sources.
Key performances, injuries, or weather changes could shift expectations for the first TD scorer market before Aug 30, 2026. Quarterback efficiency, defensive adjustments, and special teams play calling all influence scoring opportunities. A standout drive or turnover could rapidly alter trader sentiment. Momentum swings within the game may cause rapid repricing as new favorites emerge for the opening score. Any last-minute strategic decisions by coaches will also impact this market’s probability distribution in the hours leading to kickoff.