TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between San Jose State and USC specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team could win that quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in a single game segment.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the San Jose St. vs USC college football game scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. If USC wins the second quarter by exceeding the specified point threshold—ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if San Jose State wins the second quarter by more than the designated margin—specifically 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points—the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official second-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. The resolution hinges exclusively on second-quarter performance, with no consideration given to the full-game outcome.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of short-term team performance and momentum compared to traditional sportsbook lines, which may be influenced by broader factors like season win totals or public betting trends. Traders can use this market to gauge focused expectations for the second quarter specifically, potentially identifying discrepancies between betting markets and predictive insights.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects how participants expect the second-quarter scoring margin to unfold, with volume of $12,651 showing overall interest. As the game approaches, any shift in team form or key player updates can cause rapid changes in these odds.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter will be compared against the line set in the market to determine the winning side.
In the weeks before Aug 29, 2026, anything affecting team performance or game dynamics could shift this market. Injuries, coaching strategies, or even early-game momentum may cause traders to adjust their expectations for the second quarter. Media reports and practice updates often drive short-term volatility, while longer-term trends in team health and standings help set the broader outlook.