TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:56 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market shows a strong tilt toward one side, reflecting trader sentiment that differs from typical sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may balance their books by adjusting spreads or offering different incentives, prediction markets let participants bet directly on the probability they see. The current odds here suggest a much higher chance of one team scoring first than many sportsbooks might imply. Traders on Polymarket are pricing in recent form, injuries, and other factors that might not be fully captured in traditional sports betting odds yet.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling shares, creating a live price that reflects the collective view of all participants. The current leading outcome holds a substantial probability, showing that most traders expect a particular team to find the net first. Volume of $2,944 indicates strong interest, while the 24-hour volume of $2,587 shows how dynamic this market is. The price adjusts in real time as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded by credible sports authorities. The result is verified against public match reports and broadcast records to ensure accuracy before the market is finally settled.
In the coming weeks, any change to the starting lineup, weather conditions, or recent match performance could shift trader sentiment in this market. Injuries to key offensive players or tactical decisions by coaches often cause rapid price adjustments. As the match date approaches, betting volume typically spikes, reflecting updated news and analysis. All of these factors can cause significant movement in the odds before Aug 16, 2026, so staying informed about lineup announcements and pre-match reports is essential for anyone tracking this market.