TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple betting markets on the MLS match between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets include both teams scoring, total goals over/under at various thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and spread betting on goal differential margins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official MLS final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and incomplete games (official final score at completion).
Primary resolution logic:
mlssoccer.com official final scoreCore resolution logic:
- Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least 1 goal, No if either team scores 0
- Over/Under 1.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if combined goals < 2
- Over/Under 2.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if combined goals < 3
- Over/Under 3.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if combined goals < 4
- Over/Under 4.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if combined goals < 5
- Spread San Jose (-1.5) resolves to San Jose if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Sporting Kansas City
- Spread San Jose (-2.5) resolves to San Jose if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise Sporting Kansas City
- Spread Sporting Kansas City (-1.5) resolves to Kansas City if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise San Jose
- Spread Sporting Kansas City (-2.5) resolves to Kansas City if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise San Jose
- Resolution scope is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its rescheduled date
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Incomplete Game: If the game is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official final score published by mlssoccer.com at the time of completion
- Scope Limitation: All markets refer only to outcomes within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on February 21, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official final score published on mlssoccer.comOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.