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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Portland Timbers
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of San Jose Earthquakes vs. Portland Timbers?

Volume:
$628,419

San Jose

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 12:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Jose

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$302,519
N/A
N/A
$195,463
Settled
Yes
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SJE

View
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,582
$55,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

POR

View
1%
26%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$61
$12,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$125,720
N/A
N/A
$79,586
Settled
No
polymarket

Portland Timbers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
24%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$60
$6,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,339
N/A
N/A
$53,570
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (San Jose Earthquakes vs. Portland Timbers)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a single professional MLS soccer game between the San Jose Earthquakes and the Portland Timbers on September 26, 2026. Markets ask about which team will win or if the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Disagreement on resolution if the game is canceled entirely without a reschedule.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a reschedule when trading. Polymarket's resolution on cancellation favors the draw, while Kalshi's open-endedness introduces uncertainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the draw market resolves to "Yes" and the win markets resolve to "No". Source: Polymarket question descriptions.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the markets remain open until the game has been completed. Source: Kalshi market descriptions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the San Jose vs Portland professional MLS soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If San Jose wins, the 'San Jose' market resolves to Yes. If Portland wins, the 'Portland' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Earthquakes vs. Timbers match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly even chance of either team winning, with a total volume of $628,419 and 24-hour volume of $619,133. This aggregation provides a comprehensive view of predictions, combining insights from multiple sources to offer a more robust forecast than any single platform alone. The current probabilities reflect the collective wisdom of traders on both venues.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit, setting lines based on statistical models and public perception. This market, however, reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders who actively research and bet on the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, especially when significant information isn’t yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. The efficiency of this market is driven by participants’ willingness to take opposing positions.