TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes score more goals than Orlando City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC score more goals than San Jose Earthquakes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes score more goals than Orlando City SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC score more goals than San Jose Earthquakes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether bettors and traders disagree on the likelihood of the second half outcome. Sharper traders sometimes spot value by identifying these gaps early.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative conviction of all participants; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and its implied probability increases. You can enter or exit your position at any time during the trading window, and the market's price adjusts instantly based on order flow.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and events that occur after halftime, independent of the first half. Your position settles based on what actually happens in the second half play, with no ambiguity once the official result is confirmed.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can shift trader sentiment significantly before kickoff. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also influence how traders price the second half outcome. Once the match begins, first-half events like early goals, red cards, or momentum swings often trigger repricing as traders update their expectations for what unfolds after halftime. Live betting activity during the first half can also signal where sharp money expects the second half to go.