TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact final score of the San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC MLS soccer match scheduled for July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the final score of the San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Extra time periods and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. Each possible correct score outcome—including draws, wins by either team, and various goal differentials—constitutes a separate resolution condition. The resolution is determined solely by the official final score recorded at the conclusion of regulation and stoppage time.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from many independent traders competing for accuracy. This market's odds may move faster or slower than sportsbook lines depending on breaking news, lineup announcements, or sharp money flowing in. Neither source is inherently more accurate; comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts for each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a claim on a specific final scoreline, and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence in that outcome. Prices range from near-zero for unlikely results to higher levels for favored scorelines. As new information arrives—team news, weather, or betting patterns—traders adjust their bids and asks, causing prices to shift in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the San Jose Earthquakes versus Orlando City SC match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. No adjustments are made for penalty shootouts or other tiebreaker formats unless the match rules explicitly extend the result. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions quickly.
Key catalysts for this market include team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift odds for high-scoring or defensive outcomes. Weather conditions on match day—rain, wind, or extreme heat—often influence goal-scoring patterns and attract sharp trading. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any late roster changes will prompt repricing. Betting syndicates and professional traders may also move prices based on their own models or information edges. Monitor official team communications and sports news closely, as even minor updates can trigger significant price swings in the hours before kickoff.