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404,028

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5

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC?

Volume:
$2,846,413

Orlando

 - Kalshi

Orlando - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 12:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orlando

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,425,960
N/A
N/A
$896,525
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Orlando City SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$182,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Jose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$526,626
N/A
N/A
$336,221
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$337,680
N/A
N/A
$255,525
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Orlando City SC will win their MLS soccer match against San Jose Earthquakes scheduled for July 22, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Orlando City SC winning stands at 99.6% across Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution details available on the official MLS schedule and scores website. The upcoming match on July 22, 2026, will serve as the key catalyst for determining the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's three binary markets contain asymmetric cancellation logic (Draw resolves YES on cancellation; Win markets resolve NO), while Kalshi's three-outcome market lacks explicit cancellation guidance. This creates settlement inconsistency if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket traders holding Draw YES will win while Win YES holders lose—a logical impossibility in a real match. Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Clarify platform policy before expiration.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (SJ Win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, ORL Win YES/NO). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation; Draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Primary source: official MLS statistics within 2 hours, or credible consensus thereafter. Key Quote: SJ/ORL Win: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (SJ Win / ORL Win / Tie). Each outcome resolves YES if it occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] is the result of the San Jose vs Orlando professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the result of the professional MLS soccer match between San Jose and Orlando originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: San Jose victory, Orlando victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Earthquakes vs. City SC match, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. Both platforms host identical outcome questions, letting traders compare pricing and liquidity across venues. The aggregated view shows consensus sentiment among professional and retail predictors, helping you spot divergences and track how odds shift as match day nears. You can drill into individual platform details to see how each community is pricing the outcome.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live consensus from traders who profit by accurately forecasting results. Prediction market odds often incorporate real-time information—injuries, lineup changes, weather—faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster payouts. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities if you believe one venue is mispricing the outcome relative to the other.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, and recent form leading into match day. Weather conditions, home-field advantage shifts, and any coaching changes can reshape trader expectations. Pre-match media coverage and expert analysis often trigger repricing as new information surfaces. Close to kickoff, late-breaking lineup confirmations or tactical adjustments typically drive final volatility. Trading volume often spikes in the hours before the match as bettors finalize positions. Monitoring sports news feeds and both platforms' order flow will help you anticipate and react to significant price movements.