TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 1:02 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than San Jose Earthquakes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes score more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Galaxy" if Los Angeles Galaxy score more goals than San Jose Earthquakes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus—no house edge. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper early information. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of kickoff and the second half.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome token trades independently, and the combined price of all outcomes always equals one dollar, ensuring internal consistency. As traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief in the second half result, the price adjusts instantly, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that reflects the crowd's evolving conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half, or whether the half ends level. No further conditions or tie-breaking rules apply—the market simply reflects the final scoreline of that half as reported by official sources.
Several factors can shift odds before the match begins and during the first half. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also influence trader positioning. Once the first half concludes, momentum and scoreline context become critical: a team trailing by multiple goals may face longer odds to win the second half, while a team ahead may see defensive positioning reflected in lower win probability. Live injury developments during the match can cause sudden swings.