TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive odds from the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. For exact score markets, sportsbooks typically offer limited scoreline options with fixed odds, whereas this market allows traders to price every possible outcome dynamically. Prediction market prices tend to adjust faster to new information and reflect genuine crowd sentiment, though sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional handicapping. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and expert opinion diverge.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline carries its own price, determined by the ratio of yes and no shares in the pool; as traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts continuously. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus on the most likely result. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final score, and prices move in response to new information, team news, or betting patterns. The transparent, on-chain pricing mechanism ensures all participants see identical odds at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official final scoreline recorded at the end of regulation time. Resolution occurs after the event is verifiable from credible public reporting and the platform confirms the result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The timing allows for official score confirmation and any necessary clarifications before settlement is finalized.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 26, 2026. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing of likely scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions can influence trader expectations about goal-scoring patterns. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal confidence in specific outcomes, prompting others to follow. Public sentiment and media narratives around the teams can also drive volume toward certain score predictions. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster updates or venue factors typically generate the most volatile price movements.