TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 12:43 AM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy MLS match on July 25, 2026. Bettors select from various possible scorelines ranging from 0-0 draws to high-scoring results. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy correct score market covers all possible final scorelines from 0-0 through 5-5 (within the specified range of outcomes). Resolution is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Each outcome represents a unique scoreline, and only one outcome can resolve to Yes based on the actual match result. The market includes draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), San Jose Earthquakes victories at various margins, and Los Angeles Galaxy victories at various margins, with scores tracked up to 5 goals for either team.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across numerous possible correct scores, which may differ from how a sportsbook prices the same event. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating greater expected likelihood. As match details, team news, or injury reports emerge, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to move dynamically until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the match between San Jose and Los Angeles concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation play. Your position settles based on whether your chosen correct score matches the official final result reported by the league.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements from either club. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. Betting market movement from traditional sportsbooks may also influence prediction market prices as information spreads. Closer to kickoff, any late-breaking roster updates or venue changes could trigger significant repricing across all outcomes in this market.