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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy?

Volume:
$4,326,763

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 12:45 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$966,986
N/A
N/A
$523,418
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$80,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$12,015
$21,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

San Jose Earthquakes

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$585
$14,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,532,817
N/A
N/A
$830,366
Settled
No
polymarket

San Jose Earthquakes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$245,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Los Angeles Galaxy

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$554
$6,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles G

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,329,577
N/A
N/A
$825,878
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Galaxy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy scheduled for July 25, 2026, focusing on the 90-minute result. The aggregated consensus probability for San Jose Earthquakes to win stands at 77.0%. Data is consolidated from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official MLS statistics published on mlssoccer.com. The match result will be determined by the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on July 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms apply identical 90-minute resolution windows, consistent postponement handling, and MLS official statistics as the primary source. The only minor divergence is Kalshi's market structure (which resolves Yes for any outcome) versus Polymarket/Predict's three separate binary markets, but the underlying resolution logic is unified.Primary resolution logic: Official MLS statistics as published on mlssoccer.com; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • San Jose Earthquakes win market resolves Yes if San Jose scores more goals than Los Angeles Galaxy; otherwise No.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy win market resolves Yes if Los Angeles Galaxy scores more goals than San Jose; otherwise No.
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score an equal number of goals; otherwise No.
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and then resolve based on the final result.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, San Jose win and Los Angeles Galaxy win markets resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date. Resolution then occurs based on the final result of the rescheduled match.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, San Jose win and Los Angeles Galaxy win markets resolve to No. The draw market resolves to Yes (per Polymarket and Predict terms).
  • Delayed official statistics: If MLS does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use credible reporting consensus. Once official statistics are published, they supersede any prior consensus resolution.
  • Score revision after resolution: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. The market settles on the score as officially declared at the time of resolution.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by MLS, or within 2 hours after match conclusion using credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed. Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the San Jose vs Los Angeles G professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—San Jose win, Los Angeles G win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Earthquakes vs. Galaxy match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time consensus on the outcome. Both venues let traders buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective probability estimate at any moment. You can track volume across platforms and compare how each community is pricing the event, giving you a multi-venue view of where smart money is positioned ahead of kickoff.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader supply and demand to discover price. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus diverges from bookmaker pricing, helping you spot value or validate your own view of the matchup.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical announcements—typically drives sharp moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and lineup confirmations closer to kickoff can shift trader conviction significantly. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence pricing. Breaking developments in either squad's season trajectory or unexpected absences will likely trigger repricing across both platforms. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for catalysts that could swing the odds materially.