TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on whether the scheduled baseball game between San Francisco and San Diego extends past the standard nine innings due to a tie score after regulation time.
If San Francisco and San Diego go to extra innings in the San Francisco vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating a wider range of inputs from engaged traders. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp money, this market allows for continuous adjustment as new information emerges, potentially creating tighter or more divergent pricing depending on recent developments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, adjusting bids and asks based on their expectations for the game extending beyond regulation time. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate sentiment of participants, with liquidity indicated by the volume of $635. This dynamic process captures a range of opinions, from injury updates to weather forecasts affecting overtime probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If the game goes beyond the standard innings, the market settles accordingly; otherwise, it resolves as a non-occurrence based on official game results and reputable sports news sources.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather updates impacting game length, in-game performance trends, and any injuries to key players. Each of these developments may cause traders to reassess the probability of extra innings, leading to fluctuations in odds as the event date approaches. Stay alert for official team reports and umpires’ decisions that might affect game duration.