TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The scheduled baseball game between two teams will determine whether the contest extends beyond its standard duration. If the game requires additional periods to conclude, it indicates an unresolved state after the initial timeframe. This situation reflects the competitive nature and unpredictability inherent in the sport.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities. Sportsbooks may set lines based on broader factors and public betting patterns, while traders on Kalshi price in specific, real-time insights about game conditions, pitcher performance, and weather. This can lead to tighter spreads or different implied chances, especially as new information emerges in the hours before the first pitch.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether the game lasts longer than nine innings, which will be recorded from official league sources. No further analysis or interpretation is needed — the raw game length decides the settlement.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key starting lineups, especially pitcher announcements, often affect expectations for game length. Weather forecasts indicating rain delays or extended night games may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, early-game developments — such as quick strikes or extra-inning momentum — can cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likelihood of a extended contest.