TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the San Francisco vs New York M baseball game scheduled for September 6, 2026, will last long enough to require extra innings. Extra innings occur when the game is tied after the ninth inning, extending play until a winner is determined. The outcome depends on the game's progression past the standard nine innings.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Francisco vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the larger number of participants contributing to the price discovery process. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the amount of buying and selling interest at various price points, providing insights into potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the San Francisco vs New York game, including any extra innings played. Official sources will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in pitching rotations, or weather forecasts could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even public statements from team managers, might also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.