TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on whether the baseball game between San Francisco and New York M, scheduled for September 5, 2026, extends beyond the standard nine innings. Extra innings occur when the game is tied after the ninth inning, leading to additional rounds of play until a winner is determined. This event captures the excitement of closely contested matches that require extended gameplay to resolve.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the San Francisco vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Kalshi to reflect that view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a consensus view. The closer we get to the event, the more responsive the prices will be to new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the San Francisco vs New York game.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the San Francisco vs New York game, including any extra innings played. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. It's important to monitor the event's progress as we approach the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even public statements from team managers, might also impact trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or media coverage, can also drive price movements on Kalshi. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold, as they all have the potential to alter the perceived probabilities and affect the market’s direction.