TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 10:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 3, 2026, with various outcomes possible based on the combined run total between the two teams throughout the full game.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often reflect different incentives than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate trader beliefs directly. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook totals can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders diverge. Sportsbooks may adjust lines faster for sharp action, whereas prediction markets may lag slightly but eventually converge toward consensus as more participants trade.
On Kalshi, San Francisco vs Milwaukee: Total Runs is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of a specific total runs outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing implied probability. As new information surfaces—such as lineup announcements, injury reports, or weather updates—the market reprices dynamically. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, and the last traded price reflects the most recent consensus among active traders on this specific event.
The San Francisco vs Milwaukee: Total Runs market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official total runs scored by both teams combined in the completed game. The market will settle once the game concludes and official statistics are confirmed. Traders should monitor for any postponements, weather delays, or other scheduling changes that could affect the resolution timeline. Check Kalshi's event details closer to game time for any updates to the resolution criteria or deadline.
Key catalysts for price movement include starting pitcher announcements, bullpen availability, recent offensive trends, and weather forecasts. Injuries to star hitters or elite relievers can significantly shift run expectations. Lineup changes, trades, or roster moves announced before game time will influence market pricing. Real-time updates during the game—such as early runs scored, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive further repricing. Historical matchups between these teams and current season performance metrics also inform trader positioning and can trigger sharp moves as new data arrives.