TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Francisco vs Milwaukee: First 5 Innings
kalshi

San Francisco vs Milwaukee: First 5 Innings

Volume:
$23,344

San Francisco wins first 5 innings

 - Kalshi

San Francisco wins first 5 innings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 9:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco wins first 5 innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,036
N/A
N/A
$10,734
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Milwaukee wins first 5 innings

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,779
N/A
N/A
$7,850
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,529
N/A
N/A
$2,245
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 3, 2026, with outcomes determined by which team leads or if they are tied after the first five innings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks adjust for liability and hold a margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized belief. For this first 5 innings matchup, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook moneylines can reveal whether bettors and traders disagree on the likely outcome. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news like late-inning roster changes or weather updates, making them a useful cross-check against static sportsbook pricing.

The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the completion of the first five innings of the San Francisco vs Milwaukee game. Resolution is determined by which team scores more runs during that five-inning window. The outcome is final once the fifth inning concludes and the official score is recorded. Early resolution may occur if the game is suspended or postponed before the fifth inning ends, depending on league rules. Traders should monitor game status and official scoring updates to understand the exact resolution criteria set by the platform.

Several catalysts could shift the market before first pitch and during the first five innings. Starting pitcher announcements or last-minute roster changes—such as a key batter being benched or a relief pitcher unavailability—often trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions at game time, including wind direction and temperature, significantly affect offensive output in the early innings. Injury reports released hours before game time can alter team composition and offensive capability. Live trading during the first five innings will also respond to early runs scored, pitcher performance, and base-running developments, causing the market price to fluctuate as the actual outcome becomes clearer.