TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. The event tracks whether the game extends into extra innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker-set lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets move purely on supply and demand. For the San Francisco vs Milwaukee extra innings scenario, prediction markets may price the outcome more efficiently if traders have superior information or sharper models. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd is more or less bullish on extra innings than professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, the San Francisco vs Milwaukee extra innings contract is priced as a binary outcome between zero and one hundred cents, reflecting the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction, and the last-traded price serves as the market's real-time probability estimate. Kalshi's order book shows bid-ask spreads that tighten or widen depending on trading interest and uncertainty. As new information emerges—injury reports, weather updates, or lineup changes—the price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations about whether the game will extend beyond nine innings.
The San Francisco vs Milwaukee: Extra Innings market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the game concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final result: whether the game goes to extra innings or ends in regulation. The outcome is verified against authoritative sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders should monitor the game status in real time, as resolution typically occurs within minutes of the final out. Early resolution is possible if the game is called or postponed under specific conditions, so staying informed about game updates is essential for market participants.
Several catalysts could shift odds for this extra innings market. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and late-inning roster changes impact scoring expectations and game flow. Weather conditions—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and run production. Injury updates to key players, especially position players or relief pitchers, alter team strength and game dynamics. In-game momentum swings, such as early leads or comebacks, influence the probability of reaching extra innings. Bullpen availability and fatigue levels late in the game are critical; teams with depleted relievers may play more conservatively, affecting scoring pace and the likelihood of regulation-ending runs.