TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in a specific game, focusing on how many field goals each team successfully kicks. It allows participants to speculate on the likelihood of each team reaching various field goal thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the official game statistics.
The event evaluates whether Los Angeles R or San Francisco achieves specific numbers of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold for each team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, and resolution hinges on the official field goal counts recorded by each team during the game.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, but sportsbook odds may still offer value depending on your assessment of their models and the available information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the market's collective forecast for whether Los Angeles R: 3+ Field Goals will occur, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings by taking either the buy or sell side of a contract.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official number of field goals scored by each team in the San Francisco vs Los Angeles game. The final result will be determined by reviewing official game statistics and records, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual number of field goals scored.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the kickers or long snappers, could significantly shift expectations. Weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions like strong winds or heavy rain could also impact the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Furthermore, changes in public perception or expert analysis regarding team performance and offensive strategies could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for traders looking to make informed decisions.