TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often San Francisco quarterback Brock Purdy runs with the ball during a specific upcoming game against Los Angeles. Each market has a different threshold for the number of rushing attempts needed for a positive outcome.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts Brock Purdy records in the specified San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game. Each market has a progressively higher threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, etc.) for resolving to Yes. If Purdy is active but never takes a snap, all markets settle to their fair market price before kickoff. Once Purdy takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game, regardless of game outcome or subsequent events. All markets operate independently with their specific numerical thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders or market orders to participate, and the market price adjusts dynamically with each trade. The goal is to accurately predict the final number of rushing attempts and profit from correctly assessing the probability.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing attempts, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the official data is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is expected. Any updates on coaching strategies or offensive play-calling tendencies could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or changes in the game plan could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.