TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the seventh point first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the sequence of scoring milestones rather than the final score, focusing on the early momentum shifts during the match.
The event determines whether Los Angeles R, San Francisco, or neither team is the first to score seven points in the full game (including overtime) of the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, sometimes incorporating biases or perceived advantages. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. While sportsbooks might initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly as new information emerges or as traders identify perceived mispricings. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event draws nearer and more volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract indicates how much it costs to own a unit of probability for that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of traders.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team reaches 7 points first during the specified game. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the winning contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions impacting gameplay could also shift the odds. Furthermore, as the game progresses and early scores are established, the market will react rapidly to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, though the prediction market tends to be more data-driven than opinion-based. A strong performance by one team in preceding games could also influence trading activity.