TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether specific players will achieve a rushing distance beyond set thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on a different player's performance, evaluating if they can reach certain yardage milestones during their plays. The outcomes depend purely on the in-game action involving these players.
All markets evaluate whether designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the named player achieves a rush longer than the stated yardage during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest rush actually recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each participant’s performance.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a player is more likely to have the longest rush than sportsbooks indicate, the price for that player will decrease, signaling higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which player will have the longest rush. As more people buy a contract for a specific player, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome decreases. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and increases the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likelihood of each player achieving the longest rush.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the San Francisco versus Los Angeles game will be determined as the winner. Official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the results. The resolution will reflect the official record of the game, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of which player had the longest rush in this contest.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out due to injury would likely increase the odds of other players having the longest rush. Unexpected announcements about playing time or offensive schemes could also cause significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.