TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Matthew Stafford will record 2+ passing touchdowns in the San Francisco versus Los Angeles Rams professional football game. Currently, the probability of Matthew Stafford achieving 2+ passing touchdowns is 100.0%, tied with the 100.0% probability of him achieving 1+ passing touchdowns. The market will resolve based on official game statistics, as defined by whether Matthew Stafford records 5+ passing touchdowns in the game originally scheduled for September 10, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on performance through the end of the game window on September 10, 2026, with final resolution occurring by September 11, 2026.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on the passing touchdown performance of two quarterbacks, Matthew Stafford and Brock Purdy, in a single pro football game. Each market has a primary rule specifying that the market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective quarterback records a minimum number of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 5 for Stafford, and 1 to 4 for Purdy). A consistent secondary rule applies across all markets: if a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules ensure that markets are resolved based on actual in-game performance, with specific provisions for scenarios where a player is present but does not participate.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team's quarterback will determine which market outcome is correct, based on official game statistics and box scores.
Key performances in the upcoming weeks, especially standout passing games or turnover rates, will heavily influence this market. Injuries to key quarterbacks or offensive changes could rapidly shift trader sentiment. Media narratives around momentum and playoff implications may also affect perceptions. As Sep 11, 2026 approaches, any last-game results or strategic adjustments could produce significant movement in trading activity and implied probabilities.