TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a key NFL matchup, focusing specifically on how often they throw intercepted passes. The outcome depends entirely on the defensive players' ability to capitalize on offensive mistakes during the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks during the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026. For any quarterback listed, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap - even if that play is later nullified by penalty - the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing interceptions they record during their playing time. All markets operate independently, with each threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+) determining its own resolution criteria based on the exact interception count for that specific quarterback.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of passing interceptions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions in the San Francisco versus Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders who correctly predicted the number of interceptions will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It is important to monitor the game closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health or playing status for either team would be significant. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about defensive strategies or key player matchups could also play a role. Finally, general public perception and media coverage leading up to the game can influence trading activity and, consequently, the prices in this market.