TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of passing completions achieved by specific quarterbacks in a football game between San Francisco and Los Angeles. Each market has a different threshold for completions, allowing bettors to speculate on various performance levels. The outcomes are determined solely by the official game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing completions recorded by the specified quarterback in the San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Professional Football game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026. If the named quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the completion threshold specified.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the specified number of passing completions occurs, and $0 otherwise. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome happening, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions in the San Francisco versus Los Angeles game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be paid out or required to settle their positions based on whether their chosen outcome occurred.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or receivers on either team would be significant catalysts, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect passing strategies. Unexpected news about team dynamics or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Even late-breaking news regarding player availability or strategic adjustments could cause substantial price movements as traders react to the latest information and adjust their predictions before the market closes.