TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
San Francisco vs Los Angeles R: 1st San Francisco Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of San Francisco vs Los Angeles?

Volume:
$99,131

Demarcus Robinson

 - Kalshi

Demarcus Robinson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 10:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Demarcus Robinson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,199
N/A
N/A
$22,688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jordan Watkins

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
100¢
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
$1,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,409
N/A
N/A
$11,118
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaelon Black

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,829
N/A
N/A
$10,829
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,582
N/A
N/A
$8,811
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Tonges

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,520
N/A
N/A
$9,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Purdy

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,965
N/A
N/A
$7,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Evans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,191
N/A
N/A
$6,272
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,703
N/A
N/A
$5,703
Settled
No
kalshi

De'Zhaun Stribling

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,607
N/A
N/A
$4,509
Settled
No
kalshi

George Kittle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,369
N/A
N/A
$4,010
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Juszczyk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,253
N/A
N/A
$3,253
Settled
No
kalshi

Mac Jones

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Farrell

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan James

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets focus on predicting which San Francisco player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Los Angeles. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by in-game performance.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified San Francisco player or unit scores the team's first touchdown in the game scheduled for September 10, 2026. If the designated participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they score the first San Francisco touchdown. If San Francisco fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the No San Francisco Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first San Francisco touchdown tracks the current price of the 'yes' outcome, representing the probability that San Francisco will score the first touchdown of the game. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $93,884, and the total volume traded to date, which is $99,131. You can view a price history chart to see how the market has fluctuated over time, offering insight into trader sentiment. This allows you to monitor how confidence in this outcome is shifting as game day approaches.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, which can introduce biases. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows anyone to trade, so the price is driven by a diverse range of opinions and information. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust closer to prediction market prices as more information becomes available and the event nears.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the first San Francisco touchdown occurring. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of San Francisco scoring first. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on identifying which team scores the first touchdown in the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine the outcome, and the market will settle based on that information. Traders holding 'yes' contracts will receive a payout if San Francisco scores first, while those holding 'no' contracts will not.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either team, particularly the San Francisco quarterback or wide receivers, would likely cause shifts in the price. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.