TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 1:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a professional football game between San Francisco and Los Angeles. It focuses solely on the point differential during the last quarter, ignoring the overall game outcome or any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Los Angeles or San Francisco wins the fourth quarter of their scheduled professional football game by a margin exceeding specific point thresholds. Ten separate markets cover varying point differentials—from over 2.5 points up to over 10.5 points—for both possible winners. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation play; overtime points are disregarded entirely. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the stated team secures a fourth-quarter victory by more than the specified margin. Thresholds progress incrementally, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the quarter's closing moments.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because traders can directly bet on probabilities rather than point spreads or money lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends, prediction markets let participants price in their own expectations, sometimes showing sharper or more nuanced views on likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game statistics for the fourth quarter spread, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Injuries, weather conditions, or key performance metrics released before the game can shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any significant changes in team strategies or player availability may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the odds as the event draws closer. Public sentiment and analyst updates also play a role in shaping market dynamics.