TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 1:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either team specifically in the second half of an upcoming professional football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve positively.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between San Francisco and Los Angeles exclusively during the second half of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 20, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a unique threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for either team to win by in order to resolve as 'Yes'. If the actual point differential in the second half meets or exceeds the specified threshold for the respective market, that market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The resolution depends solely on the second-half performance of both teams, with no consideration given to the first half or overtime scoring.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may adjust spreads based on public betting trends and historical data, this market prices in real-time based on how participants evaluate in-game performance and momentum shifts. This can lead to notable differences, especially if unexpected plays or injuries occur in the second half.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The platform updates prices based on order book depth and recent trades, reflecting collective expectations about how the second half will unfold. Volume of $29,616 indicates the level of interest and liquidity supporting these price movements.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on the official game statistics after the second half concludes, and the market settles accordingly. Traders should monitor confirmed box scores and reputable sports news sources for the official results.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, strategic adjustments by coaches, or momentum swings during the game’s early minutes. Any sudden change in scoring patterns, turnover rates, or possession time may cause traders to re-evaluate their positions. Additionally, broader narrative shifts — such as commentary from analysts or social media buzz — can influence sentiment and drive volume spikes as the event approaches its conclusion.