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San Francisco vs Las Vegas: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

San Francisco vs Las Vegas: 4th Quarter Spread

Volume:
$1,699

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 11:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
$341
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
$340
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets focus on determining whether one team will outscore the other by a specific margin in the final quarter of an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend solely on the point differential during that specific period, ignoring any points from earlier quarters or overtime.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential scored during the 4th quarter of the designated San Francisco vs Las Vegas Pro Football game, with overtime points excluded. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: markets 1-5 require Las Vegas to win the quarter by progressively larger margins (over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, and 2.5 points respectively), while markets 6-10 require San Francisco to achieve the same margins in reverse order. The game must be the one originally scheduled for August 27, 2026, and only points scored during regulation 4th quarter play count toward resolution. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the 4th quarter spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,048. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the spread between San Francisco and Las Vegas specifically for the fourth quarter, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity without any cross-platform data.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team will cover the spread in the fourth quarter. This continuous trading process allows for rapid adjustments based on evolving game conditions and public sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game, specifically the point differential in the fourth quarter, will determine whether San Francisco or Las Vegas covers the spread as defined by the market rules on Kalshi.

Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, strategic coaching decisions affecting fourth-quarter performance, and momentum swings during the game itself. Any announcement about lineup changes or weather conditions impacting the later stages of play may also cause traders to reassess their positions, moving the implied odds on Kalshi closer to resolution.