TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either San Francisco or Las Vegas specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate how decisively either San Francisco or Las Vegas wins the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 27, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be surpassed for a 'Yes' resolution. For markets where Las Vegas is the favorite, the condition is that Las Vegas must win the third quarter by more than a set number of points (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points). Conversely, for markets where San Francisco is the favorite, San Francisco must win the third quarter by more than a set number of points (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points). Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the resolution depends solely on whether the actual point differential meets or exceeds the specified margin for that particular market.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can adjust faster to new information. While sportsbooks may lag or smooth odds for broader betting appeal, this market lets participants react quickly to shifts in perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game statistics released after the third quarter ends, ensuring an objective and transparent close for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 28, 2026. Key performances by star players, injury updates, or changes in coaching strategy may sway expectations for the third quarter. Also, broader game momentum, referee decisions, or weather conditions could influence the spread. Any public news that affects team strength or game dynamics has the potential to move odds on this market as the event nears.