TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either San Francisco or Las Vegas in the first quarter of their upcoming Pro Football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether San Francisco or Las Vegas wins the first quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specified point differentials. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger gaps such as over 10.5 points. The outcome is decided solely based on points scored during the first quarter of play; any points from later quarters are irrelevant. If the winning team meets or exceeds the threshold defined in a particular market, that market resolves as 'Yes.' If not, it resolves as 'No.' All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple outcomes across different thresholds. The markets cover both teams, providing opportunities to speculate on either San Francisco or Las Vegas dominating the first quarter by various margins.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread after the first quarter will be compared against the market’s settled value, determining payouts for all participants based on the pre-determined rules of the contract.
Key performances by star players, coaching strategies, and injury updates can all shift expectations for the opening quarter. Quarterback efficiency, defensive adjustments, and turnover ratios often drive early-game momentum. Weather conditions or last-minute lineup changes may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 28, 2026 approaches, any significant practice reports or media commentary highlighting tactical shifts could cause rapid adjustments in this market.