TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between San Francisco and Colorado on July 5, 2026 will be analyzed for individual team performance. Bettors predict whether Colorado will exceed various run thresholds (2 to 8 runs) or whether San Francisco will exceed various run thresholds (2 to 8 runs) in the full game.
The San Francisco vs Colorado professional baseball game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT will be evaluated based on individual team run totals. Colorado's performance is assessed across thresholds from 2 to 8 runs, while San Francisco's performance is assessed across the same range. Each threshold represents a separate binary outcome for each team, with Yes resolving if that team's total runs meet or exceed the specified level and No resolving otherwise. The thresholds are independent, allowing for simultaneous evaluation of both teams' scoring.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their forecasts. This market aggregates the collective judgment of those traders, which can sometimes price outcomes differently than Vegas or major online sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to specific team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating stronger confidence. As new bets flow in, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the San Francisco versus Colorado game concludes and the final team totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official combined points scored by each team during regulation play. Once the result is confirmed and locked in, positions settle automatically and traders receive payouts based on which outcome they backed.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, and weather forecasts can shift trader sentiment significantly in this market. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often signal sharp action and can influence prediction market prices. Team performance in recent games, coaching adjustments, and any last-minute lineup news will likely trigger repricing as traders update their probability estimates. Close to game time, pregame commentary and injury confirmations typically drive the most volatile price swings.