TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the San Francisco vs Cleveland professional baseball game on Kalshi, with the current probability of a Yes outcome at 39.0%. The resolution source is the game's first inning on August 20, 2026. Watch for early scoring as the game begins, as the first inning performance will determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Francisco vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges solely on which team plates the first run in the actual game — no projections or estimates are involved. Once the first-inning action concludes, the market settles automatically based on official score updates.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include last-minute lineup changes, weather delays affecting pitcher performance, or early-game momentum swings once play begins. Injuries to star hitters or pitchers, as reported by official team announcements, may also cause rapid adjustments. Traders will react to any development that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first.