TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball matchup between two teams scheduled for June 6, 2026 focuses on whether either team will score during the opening inning of play. The outcome depends entirely on the actual performance of the teams during that specific first-inning period.
On Kalshi, the San Francisco vs Chicago first inning run market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of at least one run scoring in the opening inning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability. As new information emerges—such as lineup announcements, weather updates, or injury reports—the market price adjusts to reflect changing expectations. Kalshi's order-book model allows you to place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions at your chosen price.
The San Francisco vs Chicago first inning run market resolves on Jun 6, 2026 after the conclusion of the first inning. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during that inning. Once the first inning ends, Kalshi settles the contract based on the official game result. Traders holding winning contracts receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic and final once the inning concludes and the official score is confirmed.
Several catalysts could shift the market before the game begins. Lineup announcements, especially the identity of starting pitchers and their recent form, heavily influence first-inning scoring expectations. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and pitcher control. Injury reports for key hitters or pitchers can alter offensive and defensive capabilities. Recent team performance trends, head-to-head matchup history, and bullpen availability also factor into trader decisions. As game time approaches, any late-breaking news about roster changes or field conditions will likely trigger price movement.