TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team performance in the San Francisco vs Atlanta baseball game on June 16, 2026, allowing bettors to predict whether each team will exceed specific run-scoring thresholds independently. Separate markets cover Atlanta's offensive output and San Francisco's offensive output.
This event resolves based on individual team run totals in the San Francisco vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. Atlanta's scoring is evaluated against its own set of thresholds, while San Francisco's scoring is evaluated against a separate set of thresholds. Each team's final official run total at the end of regulation play determines whether their respective market outcomes are met. Resolution occurs independently for each team based on whether their actual runs scored exceed the specified threshold for that particular market.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders with real money at stake. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue processes new information faster. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from professional oddsmakers' positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability that traders assign to that outcome, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction. As new information emerges—injury reports, weather updates, or betting action—traders adjust their bids and offers, causing prices to shift in real time and revealing evolving market sentiment.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the San Francisco vs Atlanta game concludes and the final team totals are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct combined team total at resolution receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automatic once the event result is publicly available and confirmed.
Key injury announcements, weather forecasts, and lineup changes can significantly shift this market's odds before game time. Unexpected trades or roster moves involving star players on either team may alter scoring expectations. Public betting action and sharp money flowing into one side can also trigger price movement as traders react to perceived value. Game-day conditions like field turf, temperature, and wind may influence offensive efficiency and push the market closer to kickoff.