TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 12:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between San Francisco and Arizona on June 29, 2026 will be evaluated based on individual team run totals. Bettors can wager on whether each team will score above specific run thresholds independently.
Resolution is determined by the individual run totals scored by Arizona and San Francisco in their professional baseball game scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. Arizona outcomes resolve to Yes when the team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). San Francisco outcomes resolve to Yes when the team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). The final official score at the end of the game determines resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders or casual bettors dominate activity. Comparing the two can reveal mispricings and help you identify value relative to conventional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective bids and asks from all active traders, updating continuously as new orders arrive. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move and how tight the spreads are.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual combined team total from the San Francisco vs Arizona game. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive their payout once the result is finalized and the market settles. Until that date, prices will fluctuate based on updated information, injury reports, and market sentiment.
Key player injuries, roster changes, and recent team performance trends can significantly shift this market's pricing. Betting line movements from major sportsbooks often precede prediction market moves, as professional bettors react first. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and coaching decisions announced before game day may also influence trader expectations. Breaking news about team health or lineup adjustments typically triggers sharp price movements as informed traders adjust their positions ahead of kickoff.