TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for September 14 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for September 14 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals, incentivized to make accurate predictions. Sportsbooks, while employing skilled oddsmakers, are still susceptible to biases and may adjust lines based on betting action to manage risk. While sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers, this market focuses on a straightforward outcome, allowing for a direct comparison of implied probabilities. It’s common to see this market reflect information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Giants-Cardinals game, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Giants-Cardinals game—which team wins—will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available game results to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event schedule and potential for delays that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Giants or Cardinals would likely cause a shift in the odds. Major changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even significant team performance in preceding games could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also play a role. As the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from baseball experts will likely be reflected in trading activity and price adjustments.