TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 8:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the San Francisco Giants versus Seattle Mariners game scheduled for July 18, 2026 will extend beyond nine innings. Across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows a 99.5% probability that the game goes to extra innings, with a 0.1% probability on the Giants covering a -1.5 spread. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records. Watch for the final outcome when the game concludes on July 18, 2026 at 8:08 PM ET.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 18 at 8:08PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If San Francisco and Seattle go to extra innings in the San Francisco vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 18, 2026 at 8:08 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 18 at 8:08PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on crowd-sourced pricing, where traders buy and sell shares based on their beliefs about the outcome. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and profit from the spread, prediction markets reflect real-time supply and demand. This often makes them more responsive to breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes. Sportsbooks may lag slightly behind market-moving information, while prediction traders can adjust positions instantly. Both sources offer value, but prediction markets excel at capturing live sentiment shifts during the lead-up to game time.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and recent team performance trends. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—can dramatically affect run-scoring outcomes. Lineup changes, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster moves often triggers sharp price movements. Additionally, early-game developments, such as runs scored in the first inning, can cascade into broader market repricing if they signal momentum shifts. Monitor team news feeds and weather forecasts closely for real-time trading opportunities.