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San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals?

Volume:
$3,880,255

Kansas City

 - Kalshi

Kansas City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 4:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kansas City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,289,826
N/A
N/A
$717,923
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$238,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$886
$9,317
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,525,914
N/A
N/A
$873,782
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,745
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the first five innings of the MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals on July 22, 2026 will be over or under 5.5 runs. The aggregated consensus probability favors the Over at 40.0%, with Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict as the aggregated platforms, and resolution sourced from MLB.com scores. The Under follows closely at 40.0%. Watch the game on July 22, 2026 as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: it states both 'If San Francisco wins...resolve to Yes' and 'If Kansas City wins...resolve to Yes', making the market unresolvable as written since both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is obtained. The market as described violates basic binary logic. Polymarket and Predict markets are consistent with each other and standard MLB moneyline conventions. Request Kalshi to either (1) correct the market to resolve Yes only for one team, or (2) clarify if this is a Yes/No format where Yes means 'game is played' regardless of winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'San Francisco Giants' if Giants win, 'Kansas City Royals' if Royals win. Cancellation/tie/no makeup = 50-50 split. First-inning market resolves Yes if any run scored, No if scoreless. Primary source: official MLB final statistics within 24 hours or credible consensus.
  • Predict: Identical to Polymarket: moneyline resolves to single winner name, 50-50 on cancellation/tie. Same primary source requirement (official MLB statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours).
  • Kalshi: CONTRADICTORY LOGIC: States 'If San Francisco wins...resolve to Yes' AND 'If Kansas City wins...resolve to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. No tie/cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the San Francisco vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price reflects the collective belief of all participants. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability as more capital flows in, while sportsbook odds may include built-in margins. For this market, comparing the two can reveal whether public betting sentiment differs from decentralized trader consensus.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures across venues can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Predict may attract traders with different information sets, risk tolerances, or time horizons. Market depth also varies—a platform with lower volume may see larger swings from individual trades. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but lags in execution or platform-specific friction costs can keep prices misaligned. Monitoring both venues helps you identify when one platform is pricing this market more efficiently than the other.