TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the July 5, 4:00 PM ET matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies will extend beyond nine innings. Across Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability for extra innings stands at 40.0%, with the Giants covering a -3.5 spread also at 40.0%. Resolution will be determined by official MLB final statistics published on mlb.com, or by consensus of credible reporting sources if unavailable within 24 hours of game conclusion. Watch for the final out on July 5 to see whether regulation play decides the contest or if both teams remain tied after nine innings.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction markets like those tracking this matchup often reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and manage risk across their customer base, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized bets from many participants. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook prices depending on information flow, liquidity, and the mix of traders active at any given moment. Comparing both sources can reveal value.
Polymarket and Predict operate under different market designs, fee structures, and user bases, which naturally produces pricing divergence. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Liquidity concentration, order-book depth, and the timing of large trades can cause one platform to lead price discovery while the other lags. Additionally, each platform's rules around trading halts and settlement may influence how traders position themselves, creating temporary arbitrage windows between venues.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions at game time, and recent team performance trends. Betting action from sharp traders or large position shifts can also drive rapid repricing. News about player availability, bullpen depth, or head-to-head historical matchups may influence trader conviction. As game time approaches, live odds typically tighten and volatility may increase, especially if new information emerges that shifts expectations about likely outcomes.