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402,751

Markets across

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events

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Will the San Francisco vs Arizona game go to extra innings?

Volume:
$12,573

San Francisco Giants

 - Polymarket

San Francisco Giants - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 9:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

San Francisco Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,591
$12,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Game goes to extra innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
polymarket

Arizona Diamondbacks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET. Markets track both the full-game winner and the leader at the conclusion of the 5th inning, with one platform also covering extra-innings scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three platforms offer markets on different scopes of the same game: Kalshi covers extra-innings occurrence, Predict covers full-game winner, and Polymarket covers first-5-inning leader. These are distinct settlement events, not variations of the same market.Hero tip: Treat each platform's market as a separate bet. A Giants full-game win does not automatically resolve Kalshi (which only cares about extra innings) or guarantee Polymarket (which only cares about the 5th inning score). Cross-platform hedging is possible but requires careful position tracking.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary extra-innings market. Resolves Yes if game goes to extra innings, No otherwise. Scope: entire game, but outcome is binary (extra innings or not). Key quote: 'If San Francisco and Arizona go to extra innings...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Predict: Full-game winner market. Resolves to Giants or Diamondbacks based on final score. Ternary outcome with 50-50 split for cancellation/tie. Scope: complete game. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.'
  • Polymarket: First-5-inning leader market. Resolves to Giants, Diamondbacks, or Draw based on score at end of 5th inning only. Ternary outcome. Scope: first 5 innings only. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for July 1 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If San Francisco and Arizona go to extra innings in the San Francisco vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 1, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for July 1 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which typically produces tighter spreads and faster price discovery than fixed sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks build in juice or vig to guarantee profit; prediction markets instead reward accurate forecasters with winnings from less-informed traders. This mechanism often yields more efficient pricing, especially for niche outcomes like extra innings, where sportsbook liquidity may be limited.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, risk tolerances, and information sets. Predict and Kalshi also operate under distinct contract rules, fee structures, and liquidity pools, which can cause temporary price gaps. Kalshi's binary structure and regulatory framework may appeal to different participants than Predict's share-based model. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but until they do, the platforms can show materially different odds on the same underlying event.

Key catalysts include injury updates to star players on either roster, bullpen depth changes, and weather forecasts for game day, all of which affect scoring likelihood and thus extra-inning probability. Recent team form and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader sentiment. As game time approaches, betting action at sportsbooks and sharp-money movement on other platforms can signal shifting expectations. Any late-breaking roster news or venue-specific conditions will likely trigger repricing across this market.