TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a National Women's Soccer League (NWSL) match between San Diego Wave FC and North Carolina Courage on September 12, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between San Diego Wave FC and North Carolina Courage.
The event covers all possible outcomes of the San Diego Wave FC vs North Carolina Courage professional NWSL soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market if the corresponding team wins the game in regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The secondary rules clarify that all markets refer specifically to the result after regular time, and tie outcomes exclusively resolve the Tie market.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and market-making algorithms, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $169,612 overall – isn't necessarily equal, leading to potential discrepancies. The differing probabilities reflect how each community interprets available information about the San Diego Wave FC and North Carolina Courage match, and their willingness to take on risk. These price variations present opportunities for arbitrage traders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the San Diego Wave FC or the North Carolina Courage would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they could affect playing conditions, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant tactical announcements from either team’s coaching staff or unexpected changes in team form could lead to adjustments in the predictions reflected in the market’s price.