TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 8:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NWSL game between San Diego Wave FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Diego Wave FC vs. NJ/NY Gotham FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between San Diego Wave FC and NJ/NY Gotham FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Diego Wave FC vs. NJ/NY Gotham FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate the beliefs of thousands of independent traders with real money at stake. Traders in this market are motivated purely by accuracy, not by managing liability. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes lead sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most sharply.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact-score outcome has its own share price, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents, reflecting the collective probability estimate. When you buy shares in a specific scoreline, you're betting that outcome will occur; if it does, your shares settle at one dollar. The market's pricing mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, verified against credible public reporting from the league or official match records. Whichever exact-score option matches the final result will settle at one dollar per share, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Traders should monitor official league communications and reputable sports news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reshape the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders reassess the likelihood of high-scoring versus low-scoring outcomes. Major roster updates or coaching announcements in the days before kickoff often trigger sharp price movements. As game time nears, late-breaking injury reports or official team sheets typically drive the most dramatic repricing. Monitoring team social media, league announcements, and sports news will help you anticipate market shifts.