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San Diego vs Washington: First Inning Run
kalshi

San Diego vs Washington: First Inning Run

Volume:
$135,178

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 1:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135,178
N/A
N/A
$115,489
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether either the San Diego Padres or Washington Nationals will score a run during the first inning of their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of at least one run scoring in the opening frame stands at 50.5%. Resolution is determined by the official result of the game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and starting pitcher matchups leading up to first pitch on May 31, 2026, as early offensive momentum often sets the tone for inning-by-inning outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability and balance action, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual traders' beliefs continuously. For the San Diego vs Washington first inning run, the Kalshi odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue has fresher information about lineups, weather, or recent team performance. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on San Diego scoring early than professional oddsmakers.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, which corresponds to the end of the first inning of the San Diego vs Washington game. The outcome is determined by whether San Diego scores at least one run during that inning according to official Major League Baseball records. Once the first inning concludes, the result is locked in and the contract settles to either 100 cents (if San Diego scored) or 0 cents (if they did not). Resolution occurs automatically after the inning is complete and the official score is confirmed.

Several factors can shift odds before the game starts. Lineup announcements—particularly whether San Diego's top hitters are playing—directly impact first-inning scoring probability. Injury reports for key batters or Washington's starting pitcher will influence trader expectations. Weather conditions like wind direction and temperature affect ball carry and offensive output. Recent team performance trends, such as San Diego's hot or cold streak in early innings, also matter. Pregame commentary from analysts and betting action on related markets (like total runs or moneyline) can signal sharp money moving into or out of the first-inning run contract, causing price swings closer to game time.