TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals game scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT will extend into extra innings. On Kalshi, the probability of extra innings occurring stands at 7.5%. Resolution is determined by official game records from the matchup on May 31, 2026. Watch for the final score at the end of regulation play to signal whether the game advances to extra innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief. For San Diego vs Washington: Extra Innings, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders disagree. Prediction markets may price in longer-tail scenarios or niche information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines, making the comparison useful for identifying value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, San Diego vs Washington: Extra Innings is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy YES or NO shares, with prices ranging from $0 to $1, where the price directly represents the implied probability. As new information emerges—such as lineup changes, weather updates, or bullpen availability—traders adjust their positions, moving the contract price. Kalshi's order book and recent trade history show the bid-ask spread and volume at each price level, helping you gauge conviction and liquidity before entering a position.
The San Diego vs Washington: Extra Innings market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether the game goes into extra innings or concludes in regulation play. The outcome is settled based on the official final result recorded by Major League Baseball. Once the game ends and the result is confirmed, the market locks and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning contract. Traders should monitor the game status and any official league announcements leading up to and during the event to stay informed.
Several factors could shift the market price for San Diego vs Washington: Extra Innings before May 31, 2026. Key pitching matchups and bullpen depth on both sides heavily influence extra-inning likelihood, so injury reports or roster moves will move the contract. Weather conditions—wind speed, temperature, and humidity—affect ball carry and scoring pace. Recent team performance, offensive trends, and head-to-head history also inform trader expectations. Breaking news about player availability, umpire assignments, or late-game strategy adjustments can trigger rapid repricing. Traders should monitor sports news and team updates closely in the hours before first pitch.