TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals game scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT will extend beyond nine innings. Currently, the probability of extra innings occurring stands at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by official game records from the matchup on May 29, 2026. Watch for the final score at the end of regulation play to determine if the teams remain tied after nine complete innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money traders' collective assessment of extra innings probability, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate genuine belief through continuous trading. For this matchup, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the market views extra innings as more or less likely than bookmakers do.
On Kalshi, the San Diego vs Washington extra innings contract is priced as a binary outcome reflecting the probability of the game extending past nine innings. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price reflects trader sentiment and available liquidity on the platform. As the May 29 game approaches, the price adjusts based on team news, weather, bullpen conditions, and live trading demand, allowing participants to buy or sell their exposure to the extra innings scenario.
The market resolves after the conclusion of the San Diego vs Washington game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, with final resolution by May 30, 2026. The outcome is determined by whether the game actually goes to extra innings—that is, whether play continues beyond the ninth inning. Once the game ends, the market settles based on the official final result.
Key catalysts include roster changes, bullpen injuries, or trades affecting either team's pitching depth. Weather forecasts for May 29 in the game location can influence pace and fatigue. Recent team performance, winning streaks, and offensive trends shift trader expectations about game competitiveness. Starting pitcher announcements and their recent form matter significantly. Live game developments—early scoring, pitching changes, and momentum swings—will drive price movement right up until the final out is recorded.