TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 1:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the San Diego or Tampa Bay team will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for this outcome is 44.0%. The resolution source is the game's result on August 30, 2026. Watch for the start of the game on August 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, as this is when the event window opens and the first inning begins.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate sentiment of participants. The odds adjust dynamically based on trading volume of $411,212 and any new developments impacting the game, such as bullpen changes or last-minute lineup updates. This mechanism allows rapid price discovery tailored to the specific inning-focused question.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported across sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute changes to starting pitchers, weather delays affecting game timing, or injury updates for key hitters. Any announcement impacting the lineup or game conditions—such as a rainout or postponement—may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likelihood of a first-inning run. High volume spikes around these events often reflect shifting expectations.