TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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San Diego vs Tampa Bay: First Inning Run
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San Diego vs Tampa Bay: First Inning Run

Volume:
$411,212

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 1:59 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$411,212
N/A
N/A
$317,322
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether either the San Diego or Tampa Bay team will score a run in the first inning of their professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for this outcome is 44.0%. The resolution source is the game's result on August 30, 2026. Watch for the start of the game on August 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, as this is when the event window opens and the first inning begins.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the San Diego vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the first inning run market, along with a live view of trading volume. It shows how the probability shifts as the start of the game approaches, reflecting trader sentiment about which team will score first in the opening inning. The page also displays 24-hour volume of $371,971 to indicate current interest and liquidity in this market.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate sentiment of participants. The odds adjust dynamically based on trading volume of $411,212 and any new developments impacting the game, such as bullpen changes or last-minute lineup updates. This mechanism allows rapid price discovery tailored to the specific inning-focused question.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported across sports news outlets.

Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute changes to starting pitchers, weather delays affecting game timing, or injury updates for key hitters. Any announcement impacting the lineup or game conditions—such as a rainout or postponement—may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likelihood of a first-inning run. High volume spikes around these events often reflect shifting expectations.