TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market allows bettors to predict individual team scoring performance in the San Diego vs St. Louis game on June 16, 2026. Separate outcomes track whether each team will exceed specific run thresholds, enabling focused predictions on offensive output.
Resolution is based on the individual run totals for each team in the complete game. St. Louis outcomes resolve Yes if St. Louis scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). San Diego outcomes resolve Yes if San Diego scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Each team's outcomes are evaluated independently based on that team's actual final run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on where informed traders see value. Comparing the two can reveal which venue underestimates or overestimates the likelihood of a particular team total outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether the combined team total will land above or below the specified threshold, and the market price reflects the consensus of all active participants. As new information emerges—injury reports, weather updates, or betting action—the price adjusts dynamically to incorporate that signal.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the San Diego and St. Louis game concludes and the final combined team total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league and confirmed through established sports data providers. No further trading occurs after the event concludes and the result is locked in.
Key catalysts include player injuries or roster changes affecting either team's offensive or defensive capability, weather conditions on game day that influence scoring pace, recent team performance trends, and public betting action at sportsbooks. Line movements at traditional venues often precede shifts here as sharp bettors arbitrage value. Breaking news about coaching decisions, starting lineups, or unexpected roster moves can also trigger rapid repricing. Monitor team news and injury reports closely in the days leading up to kickoff.